Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.394095 0.506440 0.628044 0.767751 0.922283 1.086634 1.273358
2025-09-21 0.217415 0.359664 0.531511 0.745666 0.998191 1.280632 1.615128
2025-09-28 0.156370 0.314100 0.519824 0.789122 1.117946 1.495187 1.950838
2025-10-05 0.117399 0.285732 0.521156 0.842008 1.244391 1.714662 2.290621
2025-10-12 0.086150 0.258377 0.516659 0.881779 1.350290 1.906295 2.594901
2025-10-19 0.069017 0.248300 0.532654 0.945626 1.484159 2.129992 2.935861
2025-10-26 0.052217 0.233037 0.537893 0.992875 1.595568 2.325571 3.242862
2025-11-02 0.032763 0.203920 0.517811 1.002602 1.657021 2.458983 3.474869
2025-11-09 0.011905 0.154223 0.457068 0.950059 1.633971 2.485880 3.577049
2025-11-16 0.001428 0.109646 0.394965 0.888961 1.594893 2.489337 3.647954
2025-11-23 NaN 0.085066 0.363096 0.868969 1.608102 2.556198 3.794114
2025-11-30 NaN 0.072827 0.353083 0.881164 1.664268 2.676835 4.005685
2025-12-07 NaN 0.056102 0.330461 0.873927 1.696184 2.770686 4.190221
2025-12-14 NaN 0.039115 0.300984 0.853015 1.707946 2.838564 4.343299
2025-12-21 NaN 0.037313 0.311240 0.898847 1.814564 3.029359 4.649219
2025-12-28 NaN 0.037664 0.327763 0.955639 1.937185 3.241346 4.982027
2026-01-04 NaN 0.035523 0.336142 0.998059 2.038994 3.426145 5.280911
2026-01-11 NaN 0.037910 0.359016 1.066150 2.178255 3.660287 5.641950
2026-01-18 NaN 0.037241 0.371823 1.116436 2.291690 3.860643 5.960773
2026-01-25 NaN 0.030416 0.362500 1.126782 2.346595 3.983902 6.182707
2026-02-01 NaN 0.016407 0.318235 1.070867 2.302406 3.975183 6.237531
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006174 0.271940 1.005736 2.241305 3.941771 6.259303
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002434 0.249855 0.984396 2.244359 3.992782 6.387032